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Right now, Iran does not possess enough of that fuel to make a single weapon.
Administration officials and diplomats said they believe, based on the I.A.E.A. reports and other intelligence, that it will be at least spring before Iran has amassed enough medium-enriched uranium to make a single weapon.
When Mr. Netanyahu addressed the United Nations in New York last September, he drew a red line across a cartoon picture of a bomb, which aides later said indicated that Iran would not be allowed to amass enough medium-enriched uranium to get enough fuel to make a single weapon.
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Iran would almost certainly be caught before it had made a single weapon.
It would be foolhardy for Iran to want to break out, they say, as there would be a high probability that its work would be discovered before it had made a single weapon.
For eight full years, the Clinton administration kept North Korea from obtaining plutonium to make a single nuclear weapon; on Mr. Bush's watch, North Korea has obtained enough for a half dozen weapons and has conducted a nuclear test.
They said nothing had changed to alter current estimates of when Iran might be able to make a single nuclear weapon, assuming that is its ultimate goal.
It delays the day when Iran could breach what Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel last fall called a "red line" beyond which Iran would not be allowed to pass — the point at which it has enough purified uranium to quickly make a single nuclear weapon.
The result is that Iran has delayed the day when it could reach what Israel's prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, defined as his latest "red line" beyond which Iran would not be allowed to pass: the accumulation of enough medium-enriched fuel to make a single nuclear weapon.
When Iran tentatively agreed eight months ago to ship some of its nuclear material out of the country, the White House said the deal would temporarily deprive Iran of enough fuel to make even a single weapon.
"We don't have a single weapon anywhere.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com