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The phrase "make a reasonable guess" is correct and can be used in written English.
It is typically used when someone is uncertain about something and is trying to determine an answer or solution based on their own understanding and judgment. For example: - "I'm not sure how many people will attend the event, but let's make a reasonable guess and say around 50." - "The instructions were not clear, so I had to make a reasonable guess on how to assemble the furniture." - "Without knowing the exact measurements, we can only make a reasonable guess on how much paint we will need for the room."
Exact(8)
They can even make a reasonable guess about how well-used (or damaged) a device is, which can affect its resale value.
To take a less ludicrous case, how can one make a reasonable guess about the number of protesters at a political rally, or of seeds on a dandelion?
From that estimate, you can make a reasonable guess that the insurance industry has accumulated over $40bn in revenue from terrorism insurance premiums since the introduction of TRIA -- without ever paying a claim, and without giving a dime to the government for their reinsurance protection.
The lack of spatial temperature data may affect the number of survey participants who were able to make a reasonable guess that fell within ±1 °C in this article.
Anyway, now here's the fun part: We know enough about Anonymous to make a reasonable guess as to who he or she is, or at least which firm he or she works for.
You can see a sample ad to the left, highlighting one of Heyzap's big advantages as an ad platform: The company knows what games users have played (since they're sharing that information with friends on Heyzap), and it can make a reasonable guess as to other games you might be interested in.
Similar(51)
If they think that Mr Takano will waste their capital, they are making a reasonable guess.
We do make guesses, not haphazardly, but by surveying people and using other information to make a reasonable estimate about what that number is.
Make a reasonable name too.
Make a reasonable attempt to make amends.
When making a price to charge make a reasonable pricing.
More suggestions(15)
make a correct guess
make a reasonable effort
make a reasonable case
make a reasonable income
make a reasonable investment
make a reasonable assessment
make a rough guess
make a dedicated guess
make a good guess
make a reasonable agreement
make a reasonable living
make a reasonable accommodation
make a reasonable stab
make a reliable guess
make a reasonable team
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com