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Progress has been made in estimating the probability of future earthquakes, but scientists may never be able to predict the exact time and place an earthquake will strike.
If an error is made in estimating the actual level of noise from the first IMF, it can seriously decrease the performance of the algorithm.
Great strides have been made in estimating their overall reliability, but to fully realize that potential, researchers and regulators need to know how confident they can be in individual predictions.
An assumption of zero background rate is made in estimating the aftershock activity by fitting ETAS model to the complete sequence of earthquakes, and thus the estimate of (mu (t)) obtained by this method could be biased.
Sensitivity analyses exploring assumptions made in estimating the control state (no NRT) will be undertaken.
An obvious skewing of the true error distribution occurs if large errors are made in estimating the biggest components.
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Gilbert and his collaborator Tim Wilson call the gap between what we predict and what we ultimately experience the "impact bias" -- "impact" meaning the errors we make in estimating both the intensity and duration of our emotions and "bias" our tendency to err.
Some of the assumptions the authors make in estimating these emergence dates are also problematic, says Philip Donoghue, a paleobiologist at the University of Bristol in the United Kingdom.
It is not the role of AAP to assess stories, but I wonder how many wire stories reported on other statements made in estimates, perhaps pertaining to Australia's position on foreign policy or the budget?
The written output (upper level, Fig. 7) also flags chosen options together with any changes made automatically in estimating beta distributions and a numerical summary of output.
Company filings made in June 2013 estimated that at one Florida warehouse, installation cost about $46m.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com