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He did this even though the exact same report explicitly warned against using these early figures to make long term predictions about the cost of the scheme.
Models are built as one-step-ahead predictors and then used iteratively to produce long term predictions.
These calibrated models are then used to make long term predictions for the sandwich panels and results are discussed.
However these approaches are more suitable for climate modelling involving long term predictions, unlike the present case of short term station-specific forecasting.
The TransVision (2009 p.22) study suggests that 'despite using the best technical modelling tools there is an inherent uncertainty about any long term predictions'.
Secondly, previous work has highlighted that long term predictions from parametric survival models can be inaccurate.
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So making long-term predictions is rather a black art.
In terms of long-term predictions, Siri is actually an easy bet.
Paradoxically, one can make long-term predictions on the basis of the prevalence of forecasting errors.
At the same time, officials here were cautious about making long-term predictions.
And for the first time, the central bank issued detailed long-term predictions.
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