Thus, there are some dozen serious long-term foresight studies on the future of transport at a European level and at different national levels on our bookshelves.
As our case study, to explore how long-term foresight and transport system visions particularly could be used in anticipating socio-technical changes and consequently supporting strategic transport planning in practice, we use a research project aiming to structure a vision of a safe and secure Finnish transport system in 2100.
Modes of scientific advice that are most useful in emergency situations will rarely be the same as those required for long-term foresight or horizon scanning.
Techniques to integrate long-term foresight and understanding of socio-technical change in the transport system to support long-term transport policy targets are introduced.
The second research question inquired after the techniques to integrate long-term foresight and understanding of socio-technical change to support long-term targets in strategic transport planning.
2. What are the techniques to integrate long-term foresight and understanding of socio-technical change to support long-term targets in strategic transport planning?
Our paper contributes to these needs by presenting a novel approach for long-term foresight to support socio-technical transitions and related decision- and policy-making.
In order to explore how long-term foresight and transport system visions particularly could be used in anticipating socio-technical changes and consequently supporting strategic transport planning in practice, research study aiming to structure a vision of a safe and secure Finnish transport system in 2100 was launched as a part of the Traffic Safety 2025 research program in 2011.
The empirical study designed as a reality check focuses on the perception of the local leaders of the emergency system regarding the most probable risks, and the uses and utility of long term strategic planning and foresight methodologies, using the Delphi technique.
Long-term clinical studies are needed.
Corporate managers should learn to plan for the long term, accept the idea that foresight pays-off, consider both the costs and returns from foresight, consider whether to shape the future or let the future shape their businesses, and dedicate enough resources for long-term plans.
