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However, a casual fan is more likely to become chronically infected by fan allegiance to a well-located, winning team, and therefore α must also depend on locational quality and success rates.
Fig. 3 Locational quality.
The calculated locational quality for the thirty NHL team host cities is shown.
Poor performance and poor locational quality simply lead to a lack of fans.
where (mu _{H_{t}}) is the mean locational quality for all thirty NHL teams.
The locational quality for all thirty NHL teams is shown in Table 3 and Fig. 3.
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First, we look at the current NHL teams to determine (mathcal {R}_{0}) with different success rates, and different locational qualities.
The outliers whose success rates are greater than their (mathcal {R}_{0}) values (Los Angeles, Anaheim, Tampa Bay, Carolina, San Jose, Dallas, and Nashville) all have locational qualities well below the league average, and the outliers whose success rates are lower than their (mathcal {R}_{0}) values all have high locational qualities.
Hamilton and Kansas City have higher locational qualities than Québec City; thus, a team in each of these cities would need a slightly lower success rate than Boston, Colorado, and the New York Islanders: for potential fans in the p=0.25 category, teams in these cities would only need 8 series appearances and 3 series wins, or 10 series appearances and 2 series wins, to reach (mathcal {R}_{0}>1).
Senaratne et al. (2017) provide a detailed review of the various methods applied in assessment of the quality of locational analytics.
According to Grossmann (2008), "economic growth has shifted to newer economic sectors which require investments into different locational factors, a high quality of life and an attractive, well-function city-core" (p. 2063).
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