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The second goal is to test which of the two models are most likely to have generated the observed data.
A vector is said to belong to the cluster that is most likely to have generated it.
We first estimate the parameters of either model using numerical methods, and then test which model is most likely to have generated the observed data.
Chang's team used a statistical method, known as maximum likelihood, that identifies the series of changes most likely to have generated the observed range of modern proteins and extrapolates the most likely common ancestor--the archosaur protein.
We show that if a court cannot perfectly determine which party's model is more likely to have generated the evidence, then adversaries face a trade-off: a model farther from the most likely interpretation has a lower probability of winning but also a higher payoff following a win.
The aim of the method is to assess from the sequence of serologic samples which incidence curves are the most likely to have generated the observed sequence of seropositivity in the samples by working out their posterior distribution.
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Inferences from RFX BMS can be based on the expected probability (i.e., the probability of each model generating the observed data in a randomly selected individual from the population) or the exceedance probability (i.e., the extent to which each model is more likely than any other model tested to have generated the data).
The early, strong, magnetic field, she says, is likely to have been generated by the influence of the Earth's gravitational pull on the lunar mantle, with the wobbling of the mantle churning up the moon's liquid core.
Part of Bowie's wealth is likely to have been generated by his so-called "Bowie Bonds", an innovative financial strategy which allowed him to sell bonds on royalties for his albums released in the 21 years up to 1990, The strategy pocketed the pop visionary a cool $55m.
Data were classified by assignment to the distribution from which they were most likely to have been generated.
The exceptionally long IRs observed in the Orchidaceae and Commelinales are likely to have been generated by this process.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com