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The FPÖ is also leading polls for the parliamentary elections, with about 30% of the vote.
Many people, along with all the leading polls, expected Amr Moussa, another establishment candidate, to do better.
He came into the state fresh off a victory in South Carolina and leading polls here by nearly double-digit margins.
He is, however, currently leading polls as the Republican candidate who voters most want to take on the Democrats in next November's election.
In the vote on Wednesday, two leading polls project that the A.N.C. will claim between 65 and 73percentt of the total, depending on turnout.
Mrs. Merkel's Christian Democratic Union, while still leading polls, has hemorrhaged support to the Free Democratic Party, the small business-friendly but socially liberal grouping that she hopes will help form a viable coalition in the next government.
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"President Musharraf already does not enjoy a high degree of support," said Ijaz Gilani, the chairman of Gallup Pakistan, a leading polling agency.
Scotland's leading polling analyst and professor of politics at the university of Strathclyde, John Curtice, said: "What is striking is how even the movement is.
Wisconsin's leading poll, sponsored by Marquette University Law School, published new numbers Wednesday that showed Sanders leading 49%-45 49%-45
Nothing like this has happened before," Ben Suffian, who runs Malaysia's leading polling organization, said in a phone interview from Kuala Lumpur, the capital.
As the election drew near, leading poll aggregators like Nate Silver, Sam Wang, Drew Linzer and others projected with high confidence that Obama would win easily.
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