"This kind of information, which can provide more precise data on the time of incidents, the places they occur, the perpetrators and victims, and latent trends and correlations, is critical for preventing and reducing violence," said Igarapé Institute's Muggah.
These analyses can quickly and easily identify latent trends in large amounts of unstructured financial information, some of which may warrant further scrutiny by our enforcement or examination staff.
Given the periodicity over the course of a day and a week, we posit that Gaussian Processes are able to recognize latent periodic trends in the data.
To create a representative curve from those N profiles, we use each of the profiles as inputs to a Gaussian Process (GP) because of its ability to recognize latent periodic trends.
These results were consistent irrespective of whether we were using a model including latent correlation or trend.
Additional file 1: Figure S1 shows a nearly identical trend for latent fixed-point phenotypes.
With larger samples it might be possible to separate more conclusively trend and latent serial dependence and further research using larger samples sizes is warranted.
For our purposes, given that our primary interest concerns seasonality, whether we included latent serial correlation or trend, the estimates of the seasonal components were broadly similar across models and this renders our findings regarding seasonality robust in the presence of these largely statistical effects.
Problems were encountered in attempting to include both trend and latent serial dependence in models simultaneously; this is likely to be a consequence of a lack of power to separate these two effects in the presence of small counts, yet in reality the underlying physical effect is likely to be a combination of both.
Furthermore, substantive research questions may concern issues such as interrelated trends among latent variables that can only be addressed by modeling them jointly.
