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Exact(4)
I flew through the air, landing head first.
As images of me as a child flashed through my consciousness, I twisted to avoid landing head first.
Addazio, a former high school coach in Connecticut, has strong Northeast recruiting ties and came close to landing head coaching jobs at Syracuse and Boston College in recent years.
Denman was alongside Madison Du Berlais, the eventual winner, when he appeared to take off too early before catching the top of the fence and then landing head first.
Similar(56)
Consider, for example, a fair coin one that has an equal chance of landing heads or tails if tossed.
Because the coin is fair, the objective chance of its landing heads on any given toss is 1/2.
Then you might think that your credences match your evidence, because you have evidence only about it landing heads and your credence that it will land heads equals the known chance that it will land heads.
For instance, the probability of a coin landing heads is a half exactly when in a series of similar coin tosses, the coin lands heads half the time.
Conditional on it landing heads, my credence in heads is 1, for instance.
Your evidence tells you that the chance of it landing heads is 0.7.
If I've seen the coin land heads, that its chance of landing heads was 0.5 at some earlier time is no reason to have my credence in heads be 0.5.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com