Although Bret made landfall near the Texas-Mexico border, the small size of the system resulted in limited impacts in Mexico.
It's not exactly going to be prime time programming — assuming all goes well during its seven minute atmospheric entry (cross your fingers and toes), the Mini Cooper-sized rover is expected to make landfall at about 1 30 AM Eastern Time.
The decrease in the height of the surge was due to the hurricane's small size and its rapid intensification just prior to landfall.
The observation suggested a landfall pressure of 949 mbar, and based on its small size and peak winds of 130 mph (215 km/h); equivalent to a Category 4 on the current Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.
Storm surge was particularly high due to the hydrology of the region, the hurricane's extreme size, and the fact that it weakened only shortly before landfall.
Maintaining a relatively large eye with a width of about 51 km, the cyclone intensified while nearing the shoreline of northern Queensland; by 0300 UTC the following day, though, a slight reduction in its size was noticeable, and by the time the cyclone made landfall, its eye was merely 41 km in diameter.
Using this simulation framework, selected parameters (i.e., intensity and size parameters) are recorded for each hurricane at the time of landfall along the Texas coast.
Despite the issuance of a hurricane warning just eight hours prior to landfall, Jerry caused only three fatalities in Texas, possibly due to the storm's small size; a car fell over the Galveston Seawall, killing its three occupants.
Due to low environmental air pressures and the large size of the cyclone, intensification was gradual as the storm approached Jamaica, eventually making landfall on the eastern side of the island, just west of the Morant Point Lighthouse, at 13:00 UTC on October 21.
Idealized experiments are designed to simulate storm surge with different domain sizes under various hurricane intensities, radius of maximum wind (RMW), translation speeds and landfall directions, coastal ocean bottom slopes, and continental shelf extents.
