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The storm surge was easily influenced by the landfall location change with the same central pressure.
The Hurricane Center predicts 6 to 13 feet of water — above normally dry land — inundating coastal areas immediately to the east and north of the landfall location.
The event model parameters were derived from a statistical analysis of storms affecting the Southeastern United States and include radius of maximum winds, central pressure difference, landfall location, storm track, and decay rate.
Models run Saturday night suggested a landfall between Naples and Tampa on Sunday afternoon or evening was plausible, but pinpointing the exact landfall location is difficult for a storm predicted to parallel a long coastline.
Extrapolation from the storm's eastward progress yielded a projected landfall location near Levy County.
The storm dropped heavy rainfall near its immediate landfall location but little precipitation elsewhere.
Similar(39)
According to the 70% probability circle method, 42 tracks were designed based on WANDA with various landfall locations and central pressures.
When Kate struck the Florida Panhandle, it became the first hurricane to make landfall in that location since Hurricane Eloise in 1975.
They're products of a swarm of atmospheric and oceanic conditions — and what perhaps matters most is the broader pattern of winds that steer a given storm toward its landfall in a particular location.
But that forecast turned worse by the afternoon, and in any case officials urged residents all along the Gulf Coast not to focus on the projected intensity, or even the location of landfall.
But there are occurrences when extreme weather events and extreme impacts are not related such as when a mild storm leads to floods that affect critical infrastructure [53]; or when a tropical cyclone makes landfall in a desolate location.
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CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com