The SMILI was successfully tested for face and content validity and inter- and intra-rater reliability using video recordings of labour scenarios [ 34].
McCluskey and Paul Kenny, the GMB general secretary, have warned that less than 10% of its political levy-payers will, in these circumstances, wish to affiliate to Labour – a scenario that could create a huge hole in the party's finances on the eve of the 2015 election.
The extrapolation of the doctor-based ART delivery model to the hypothetical district in sub-Saharan Africa (with 200,000 inhabitants and 20% adult HIV prevalence putting 50% of those in need on ART) over 2004 201313 shows that at least 4 full-time doctors would be needed for ART, and possibly as many as 11 full-time doctors under the most labour-intensive scenario.
Details concerning the sources used, the methodology of verification of their quality, as well as their preparation for input into the projection model can be found in the respective background papers on demographic, migration and labour participation scenarios (Bijak 2004; Bijak et al. 2004; Saczuk 2004).
In a best-case scenario, Labour may still have more BAME MPs – but only just.
Labour's nightmare scenario is that the party comes third behind the Liberal Democrats in the local elections and European elections in June.
It would, however, make the job of wooing the Lib Dems, whose social liberalism is a unifying creed, slightly trickier.In such a scenario, Labour would be on the back foot.
On this scenario, Labour indicated that they expected Cameron to make an immediate claim on Friday morning that his was the legitimate government of the UK and then point to the likelihood that he could strike a second deal with the Liberal Democrats.
There is a significant demand for labour across the scenarios, although obviously more so in the first two.
One gruesome and plausible scenario involves Labour and Conservatives holding about 285 seats each and the Lib Dems winning fewer than 30 (down from 56 today).
