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It might have been sitting out the election, but that idea was upended when Foley announced Labor would ban CSG in the Pilliga and would refuse to allow Santos to proceed with production should Labor win the election.
A last-minute Labor win would take a miracle.
The Liberals have won Forde consistently since 1996, except for a Labor win in 2007.
A uniform swing of 4% would see Labor win a majority.
Let's look first at recent trends in the probability of a Labor win in the upcoming election.
An opinion poll this week put the federal opposition Labor Party ten points ahead of Mr Howard's ruling coalition, enough for a landslide Labor win.
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(Reuters) BRITAIN: LABOR VICTORY -- Labor won a parliamentary by-election in Fallkirk West, Scotland, its eighth straight victory since coming to office in 1997.
Otherwise, Greens preferences will ensure that Labor wins the seat.
Eight seats tipped to be Coalition wins turned out to be Labor wins (including Bennelong, John Howard's seat).
Labor wins, and Keating sings about the unexpected victory as "the sweetest victory of all", using a famous phrase from his actual election night speech ("Sweet").
Labor could win between 47 and 51 seats in Victoria's parliament if the polls are on the money a week out from election day.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com