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Representativeness: where people judge the probability of an event by how much it represents available data.
To determine how well triage physicians judge the probability of death or severe complications that require treatment only available in an ICU to maintain life for patients with acute congestive heart failure (CHF).
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She combined the long-term hurricane record with new data on property exposure -- building-replacement costs by ZIP code, engineering reports, local building codes, etc. -- and wound up with a crude but powerful tool, both for judging the probability of a catastrophe striking any one area and for predicting the losses it might inflict.
"Similarity" is another cognitive heuristic and reflects "a cognitive shortcut used for judging the probability of an event by its similarity to events with comparable features" [ 29], p.248.
(Participant 4)" "Availability of risk" is a cognitive heuristic that refers to "a cognitive shortcut used for judging the probability of an event by the ease with which examples of the event come to mind" [ 29], p.248.
The probability output of the SVM is then used to judge the fiducial probability of the sample in the SVM model in the first stage.
Both coefficients are negative and thus indicate that there is a larger difference between the two groups after marriage than before the event, judging by the probability of sending remittances.
The study, with the unwieldly title "Grid of the Future White Paper on Accommodating Uncertainty in Planning and Operations," suggests that utility planners and operators begin using software that judges the probability of risks to the power system.
Thus, adding two additional judges reduces the probability of an error, and hence the expected cost, enough to offset the cost of the extra judges.
These probabilities can be multiplied together to estimate the probability of surviving 20 years.
Availability heuristics employ readily accessible information to judge the frequency, probability, and causality of traits and events.
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