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The phrase "it is probably true" is correct and can be used in written English.
You can use it when you want to express that something is most likely true based on the information you have. For example, "John said he was feeling better, and it is probably true since he was in good spirits."
Exact(59)
"it is probably true that working together with religious groups in interfaith coalitions will result in some good will and more favorable opinions about atheists..
And it is probably true.
That may sound outrageous, but it is probably true.
But it is probably true; it would make sense.
Mr. Trotter said he does not remember this, but allows that it is probably true.
But for Mr Fry's reality, it is probably true that only poetry would do.
Hot pies!" (This sounds a little like the opening of "Oliver!," but it is probably true).
Some of it is probably true – but a great deal of it is probably not.
Now, it is probably true that every job entails some kind of mutilation.
It is probably true that Reagan's intensification of the arms race also hastened the collapse of the Soviet economy.
It is probably true that the faster information flows through the economy, the more abrupt any adjustments will be.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com