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It's an understandable intuitive reaction, but it's one based upon looking at the wrong information.
Rather than 'let's find out what happened', the intuitive reaction was to say 'well, the boys didn't know it happened'".
Controlled experiments can transform decision making into a scientific, evidence-driven process rather than an intuitive reaction.
They apparently imagine that QE was an intuitive reaction by Bernanke, one that academic macroeconomics would never have suggested.
"It is not healthy when the intuitive reaction of the owner is to side with a politician against the editor," he told the committee.
But their theory might be out of line with their intuitive reaction to a detailed story about someone doing something nasty.
Similar(43)
The intuitive reactions of System 1 serve as important inputs in the decision-making process.
The Bayesian analysis indeed vindicates the rationality of experienced scientists' reactions in many cases where those reactions were superficially paradoxical and where the relevant scientists themselves must have puzzled over the correctness of their own intuitive reactions to the evidence.
Subjects in past studies were unable to provide justifications for their decisions regarding moral dilemmas that elicited strong intuitive reactions, but stripped away rational bases for decisions guided by such reactions32,33.
Of course we are right to be charmed by the beauty of distant cultures and to celebrate difference — but just how should our intuitive reactions to other nations influence our sense of ourselves, of how history works and how (in Kaplan's case) we recommend that superpowers behave in the world?
Furthermore, knowledge is particularist and context-sensitive in nature and is expressed in intuitive reactions to the present moment.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com