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We developed a simple and intuitive prediction model that demonstrated its relevance in identifying groups of patients with different predictive values for AD.
However, no matter how large the group is, this approach still relies on intuitive prediction and is prone to biases such as groupthink.
Decision-makers generally rely either on historical data or intuitive prediction to gauge the rate of improvement and level of R&D spending to achieve the desired improvement.
In 1979, Kahnemann and Tversky published a piece on intuitive prediction, in which they argue that "man suffers from mental astigmatism as well as from myopia, and any corrective prescription should fit this diagnosis".
This model provides intuitive prediction of flux recovery as a function of cleaning time and cleaning solution concentration for PAN microfiltration membrane fouled with activated sludge from membrane bioreactor (MBR).
The main cause of this counter intuitive prediction was claimed to be the encounter-based memory parameter of a predator: memories of a predator must change in a time-dependent manner [16], [17].
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In this role, the score appears to have much higher sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive value than has been shown with experienced clinical triaging staffs' intuitive predictions.
How can software managers and developers take estimation metrics (i.e. story points) seriously if they base them on intuitive predictions that are inherently prone to inaccuracy?
In this paper, we propose a compact analytical PA/TA generation model to incorporate EM, thermal and mechanical parameters, etc. From the derived analytical model, both intuitive predictions and quantitative simulations are performed.
These insights are extremely useful in enabling intuitive predictions of UEG morphology based on the basic spatiotemporal distribution of activity.
Despite the simplicity of these motifs, intuitive predictions regarding dynamical behaviour of the network components at various abundances of the regulatory proteins (e.g. Kin, Phos or E3) would be a nontrivial task without the employment of mathematical models.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com