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The research is not only the first to examine the future intensity of storm surges, but also the first to offer a tool for estimating an area's vulnerability to future flooding, said co-author Michael Oppenheimer, the Albert G. Milbank Professor of Geosciences and International Affairs at Princeton.
Littoral zone, marine ecological realm that experiences the effects of tidal and longshore currents and breaking waves to a depth of 5 to 10 metres (16 to 33 feet) below the low-tide level, depending on the intensity of storm waves.
However, in addition to wind velocity, several hydro-, andothermic, and other factors a wide range of stratigraphic conditions, topographic setting, and sand sources also determine variations in the extent and intensity of storm flooding, erosion, transfer, and deposition of sand layers in small paralic basins.
Although the storm risk model does not predict windthrow probability climate-sensitively, assumptions on the frequency and intensity of storm events under climate scenarios alter the interpretation when transferring vulnerability probabilities into damages and losses.
We use historical water-level records observed at hourly intervals from the University of Hawaii Sea Level Center (UHSLC) to analyze the intensity of storm surges by applying the information diffusion theory.
As there is no model that is capable of performing global storm surge simulation and the datum of each tidal station is different, we adopted the fuzzy information processing method to calculate the yearly expected value of maximum relative water level rise at each tide gauge as the intensity of storm surges.
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In the paper we confirm earlier work on the dependence of the L-position (Lmax) of the peak intensity of storm-injected relativistic electrons upon the magnetic storm amplitude |Dst|max.
He linked the increased intensity of storms to the heating of the oceans.
But the effect is being aggravated by the increasing intensity of storms.
Climate change is a likely culprit, as manifested in the frequency and intensity of storms.
"We would project an increase in intensity of storms," he said.
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