Early on August 17, a pulse in the monsoon increased thunderstorms and allowed the system to become better organized.
On December 15, the system began to regenerate due to increasing thunderstorm activity near its main circulation center, and by late in the day, was once again considered a tropical depression.
A westward-moving tropical wave increased in thunderstorm activity, soon organizing into a tropical depression on September 13.
"Different models show different trends," he said, pointing out that hurricane-force wind speeds and and increases thunderstorms are tough to estimate, but "we're locked in on sea level rise," he told me.
The next day, wind shear once again increased significantly; consequently, thunderstorm activity decreased along the southwest portion of Judy.
At the tail-end of the trough, increased shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a developing low-pressure area prompted the National Hurricane Center NHCC) to begin monitoring the disturbance for tropical cyclone formation the next day.
The warm weather is set to continue into next week with temperatures in the high 20Cs at the weekend before rising to 30C (86F) and beyond next week - bringing with it an increased risk of thunderstorms.
Late on July 11, the thunderstorms increased, and restrengthening resumed.
An area of thunderstorms increased near the FSM on September 15 within the monsoon trough.
Thunderstorms increased over the center, and an eye began developing on March 26.
