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The paper that he read there in July 1797, in which he concluded that France would be unable to reconquer its American colonies and should therefore attempt to establish colonies in Africa, showed that he again hoped to enter politics.
The chancellor's intervention was reinforced by an unprecedented breach of constitutional convention by Sir Nick Macpherson, the Treasury's permanent secretary, who released a letter in which he concluded that a currency union would be out of the question.
Tetlock's original study — the one in which he concluded that experts were roughly as effective as chimpanzees — actually showed an inverse relationship between the fame of an expert and the accuracy of their predictions.
The journalist Joe McGinniss chronicled the marketing strategy behind Mr. Nixon's 1968 campaign in his book "The Selling of the President," in which he concluded that "politics, in a sense, has always been a con game".
In 2013, for example, Pat Buchanan, the self-proclaimed paleoconservative commentator, wrote a column that asked, "Is Putin One of Us?," in which he concluded that, in many ways, Putin was.
While still in his 20s, he demonstrated his mastery of classical physics by writing a prizewinning essay on Saturn's rings, in which he concluded that the rings must consist of masses of matter not mutually coherent a conclusion that was corroborated more than 100 years later by the first Voyager space probe to reach Saturn.
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He explains his work in his new book, "iDisorder: Understanding Our Obsession With Technology and Overcoming Its Hold on Us," in which he concludes that Facebook is "both good and bad for us".
To the Editor: It was with great interest that I read about John Edgar Wideman's experiment in which he concludes that train passengers avoid sitting next to him because he is black.
He goes on to build himself a fantasy about her based on nothing but his gut-reaction to her pictures, in which he concludes that her natural temperament must have been informed by loneliness, privation and suffering.
Stephen L. Carter, a professor of law at Yale as well as a successful novelist, has written a book about "just war" theory in which he concludes that Barack Obama, a president he clearly admires, has prosecuted the war on terror with no more regard for the theory's ancient principles than George W. Bush (whom many of Carter's readers no doubt consider a war criminal).
Justice Scalia's opinion in District of Columbia v. Heller (2008), in which he concludes that the Second Amendment grants rights that are nowhere to be found, either in its text or in far more than a century's worth of Supreme Court precedent, is the strongest recent illustration of this approach.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com