We keep track of which polling firms include cellphones in their samples and which do not.
The We Ask America polls, for instance, had a lot of voters who identified as Republican in their samples.
Whether polling firms include cellphones in their samples seems to make a difference of about 2 percentage points, for instance.
In one of the forecasts, I ran the numbers based solely on polls that do include cellphones in their samples.
The New York Times reported in May that if the authorities prevailed, they would seek to question each of the 104 players about where they obtained the substance detected in their samples.
Izabela Dragneva, the winner of the women's 106-pound gold medal, and Sevdalin Minchev Angelov, the men's 137-pound bronze medalist, had traces of diuretics in their samples, Beltcho Ivanov, of the Bulgarian National Olympic Committee, said.
"Nobody else has any of these sounds on their hard drives or in their samples, anywhere in the world," said Mr. Cicci, who chiefly uses Live, an audio software program from Ableton, to create and mix his sounds.
Even the snap polls, which I take with a grain of salt because they can tilt Republican in their samples, gave the edge to Obama.
The most unambiguously bearish sign for Mr. Romney are the poor polls he has been getting in swing states from pollsters that use a thorough methodology and include cellphones in their samples.
This holds for almost all "robopolls" conducted by automated script, as well as some polls that use a more traditional methodology but haven't chosen to include cellphones in their samples, since doing so is more expensive.
The Pew Research Center released a report in October finding that polls that do not use cellphones in their samples can overestimate support for Republican candidates by four to six percentage points.
