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The indigenous knowledge of TAPs in predicting weather, locating pastures at various times of the year, and their management practices would be a valuable resource for successful livestock husbandry.
"We're only 56percentt accurate in predicting weather seven days away," he said, "so to take action today based on predictions 100 years away is absurd".
Finally, this comparison across forecasts and weather observations highlighted the challenge in predicting weather extremes because all forecast models and postprocessing adjustments are designed for estimating the averages of temperature and other weather conditions (Lalaurette 2003).
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He oversees a team of 50 dedicated to analyzing and predicting weather in the region through next February.
Predicting weather 3 months in advance is like predicting a result between two evenly matched sides before the game begins.
A football analogy: predicting weather 3 days in advance is more or less a penalty kick - usually you score, less often you miss.
You're predicting weather regimes, not the daily weather variables in every location, is that right?
Forecast mortality models captured heat wave effects less well than heat effects because forecast models perform worse in predicting extreme weather conditions.
Today, most meteorological offices in the world predict weather based on numerical simulations of the global atmospheric circulation.
Recent advances in numerical weather prediction and data assimilation, combined with the availability of high spatial, temporal and spectral resolution satellite observations and burgeoning computer power are leading to significant improvements in our ability to predict weather phenomena at higher and more appropriate resolutions.
It brought to mind the tribulations of those hardy and unheralded souls who practice the thankless science of meteorology and must tolerate cynics who taunt them with claims that weather forecasting is still a few hours behind arthritis in predicting the weather.
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