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Ultimately, if it does all come down to a pure numbers game, and Singh's campaign is right in its estimates, then it's possible the race could be called after the first ballot.
Update: I should have mentioned that the CBO doesn't use the filtering method in its estimates for the US; as best I understand it, it uses a production function approach that is much less likely to interpret a prolonged slump as a decline in potential output.
The Browne et al. model fails to fit with the data, and hence confronts evidence of causal misspecification, and it also confronts evidence of bias in its estimates.
Wall Street typically excludes one-time charges in its estimates.
Unlike other research firms, Canalys includes tablets in its estimates of PC market shipments.
The biggest differences in ComScore's ratings, announced last week, come in its estimates of Web use at the workplace, always the most difficult to measure.
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It includes data on illegal drugs and prostitution in its estimate after European rules were brought in to make it easier to compare data across the European Union.
Dr McElwain, therefore, picked a method that was at once less direct in its estimate of CO2 levels, and more direct in its estimate of the effects of those levels on plants.Plants live by photosynthesis.
The El Paso Corporation said it would take a $1 billion charge as a result of a cut of nearly 35percentt in its estimated proven reserves of natural gas.
This surprisingly rosy prognosis can be attributed to the OBR being kind to the Chancellor in its estimate of the amount of slack in the economy.
And it would require the Fed to have a lot of confidence in its estimate of the natural unemployment rate, a notoriously slippery thing to measure.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com