"We have considerable confidence in how average climate will change globally and to a degree over Australia.
In an average climate you can again follow the estimated standard of 2 acres of green pasture for 6 sheep.
In order to illustrate the impact of climate change on electricity markets, we use a pedagogical tool, namely to postulate that the average climate in a future time period (2070 2099) materializes in a much earlier year (2030).
Each patch's climate changes linearly in a random direction and rate (with the restriction that the average climate in the patches changes unidirectionally), creating a web of crossing environments.
Starting time and start value are considered representative for average climate conditions in the county of Uelzen and were used to compute the irrigation requirement for all different scenario runs, years and crop species.
Although computer models suggest that average climate conditions in the future will be much like today's El Niño, the climate at that time isn't stuck in one state year after year, she says: "They're all over the place with variability".
For the average climate science denier in the street (and there are a lot of them on some streets), there is often little correlation between the vehemence of their denials and the so-called "facts" at their disposal.
Encouragingly, on average, climate models are nailing the increase in ocean heat content quite accurately.
