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"Reflective of the current global economic environment," the agency wrote in a forecast summary, "international travel is forecasted to decline by 8percentt in 2009".
In a forecast on October 14th, the five main economic institutes predicted growth of just 0.2%.
Deutsche Bank, in a forecast issued this week, was even more pessimistic.
In my view, it's in estimating the uncertainty in a forecast where most of the challenge and intrigue lies.
Adelaide will be even warmer, with a string of days over 30C culminating in a forecast 35C on Monday.
But Mr. Sullivan said officials were taking heart in a forecast that predicted slightly lower temperatures today, with less humidity.
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It has not, however, blunted her confidence in a forecasting methodology that involves analysing massive quantities of data.
I used to be annoyed when the margin of error was high in a forecasting model that I might put together.
In a forecasting task, healthy people failed to anticipate this adaptation.
In a forecasting setting, there is nevertheless the prospect of appropriate 95% "error bands".
These models can be run in a forecasting mode to predict, for example, the effects of habitat loss, homogenization, or fragmentation on biodiversity [67].
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