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With a thin majority in the new parliament, he cannot afford to offend important interest groups.
On the Democratic side, Clinton remains highly popular inside her own party, and she has the support of important interest groups that help to mobilize Democratic voters.
According to the article, Warner has "the kind of technocratic appeal for hands-on government that has never inspired voters," while Clinton is "beloved by most of the party's important interest groups".
Beyond the tax cuts, everything else is a sideshow, even those issues on which the president seemed to risk offending important interest groups and lawmakers whose help he will need.
And it's risky not just because she is a Clinton, beloved by most of the party's important interest groups, but also because she is a woman; a lot of voters may wonder if a woman can really be elected president, but they would most likely turn on any male candidate who was crass enough to imply as much.
By supporting Bush, Kennedy and Miller were doing him a big favor, and taking a risk, because they were going against the natural inclinations of one of the most important interest groups in the Democratic Party, the teachers' unions; for Kennedy and Miller, supporting No Child Left Behind was what supporting a new tax would be for Bush.
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Offending an important interest group in your party, in its way, can have a positive impact".
Or the Administration will propose something that receives the universal approbation of respectable opinion and also fails to pass, but that actually has hidden benefits, such as distracting liberal attention from something else, or propitiating an important Republican interest group.
At a time when hunting continues to become less popular nationally, despicable stories about slob-hunters will only push more kids towards computer games and away from the woods (and an important environmental interest group, hunters, will be further marginalized).
Meanwhile, Trump continues to alienate top Republicans, first with his racist comments about Judge Gonzalo Curiel and then with anti-free-trade speeches that were condemned by the Chamber of Commerce and the National Association of Manufacturers, two of the most important Republican-oriented interest groups.
And over the years, it has become a critically important tool for public interest groups, journalists, and others seeking to hold government accountable.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com