We conclude that the implausible predictions that flow from these assumptions do not apply to one specialized population widely used to study economic behavior in laboratory experiments.
The exponential model used in some studies [37],[76],[77] and the polynomial model used in others [36] are not appropriate in the light of the present dataset because of their poor fit and their implausible predictions of pollen behavior over large distances.
However, if least squared estimation is used in the presence of large proportions of subjects scoring utility values of 1, the bounded nature of the utility value may result in implausible predictions outside of the existing range of the scale.
Plausible predictions related to the principles of natural selection indicated the value of the activity, whereas implausible or unrelated predictions suggested that students remained unclear about natural selection.
Event-related brain potentials (ERPs) were recorded while participants read two-sentence mini-scenarios previously shown to elicit prediction-related effects for implausible items that are categorically related to expected items ('They wanted to make the hotel look more like a tropical resort. So along the driveway they planted rows of PALMS/PINES/TULIPS.').
In line with our prediction, subjects were better at detecting manipulations that included physically implausible changes (geometrical inconsistencies, shadow inconsistencies, and super-additive manipulations) than images that included physically plausible changes (airbrushing alterations and addition or subtraction of objects).
But predictions that Nigeria is about to fall apart are implausible.
Model predictions are assessed against observations through an implausibility measure that rules out model inputs that are considered implausible given the quantified uncertainty.
Although this fits with our prediction that plausible manipulations would be more difficult to identify than implausible ones, the pattern of results for geometrical inconsistency, shadow inconsistency, and addition or subtraction do not support our prediction.
We've sat through way too many of these things, and we've read all of the advance rumors about what's being discussed tonight, and so we hope we can offer some realistic predictions of what's about to happen -- while accounting for the improbable and implausible, as well.
