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"People don't like horses who run to the front, especially if they're trying to predict who is going to win the Kentucky Derby.
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But if you're trying to predict who's a terrorist, stick to the old techniques.
If you're trying to predict the outcome of something emotionally charged like Brexit, motivated reasoning is almost certainly skewing your thinking.
"If you are actually playing, you're trying to predict the best bracket that no one else has thought of".
"We're trying to predict human behavior," he says.
TR: We're trying to predict hurricanes with modeling tools meant to predict larger weather systems?
But it is a disaster if you are trying to predict the economy in 2025.
The bears make some good points, especially if you are trying to predict whether the Russell 2000 or S&P 500 will do better in 2005.
If you remember in the financial crisis every one was trying to predict the bottom.
"The whole job of merger enforcement is trying to predict how the market will behave if the merger goes through.
First, you specify what you are trying to predict.
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