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In the case of count data, the predictive distribution is discrete resulting in PIT values no longer being uniform under the null hypothesis of an ideal forecast.
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"With almost 19 overs lost to the weather already and a less-than-ideal forecast being predicted for the final two days, there is every chance that this will peter out into a draw.
In it, a worried-looking woman listens to an ideal weather forecast -- "It's 68degrees and PERFECT!" -- but thinks to herself, "I should be outside, frolicking and gamboling... yet I don't like to frolic or gambol......
If outdoor activities comprise the majority of the trip's itinerary, then decide on an ideal weather forecast, and book the trip during a season that would most likely yield ideal conditions.
These features make GPR an ideal tool for forecasting purposes.
The technique could be ideal for microscale forecasting of storms near airports, for instance, says atmospheric scientist Randolph Ware of the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado.
The research design allowed for two operational definitions of expectations, namely forecast and ideal expectations, in order to investigate differences between respondents' pre- and post-experiences with a service.
That cemented my career path; it sounded ideal to sell specialized forecasts to businesses.
We assume that in a real-world scenario, providers will submit a less accurate forecast than our ideal simulated scenario.
"The weather forecasts are not ideal," he acknowledged.
Even in these unrealistically ideal circumstances (i.e., forecasting for real-world providers is a much more challenging issue, and hence likely to be significantly less accurate), it was found that CPP contracts still outperformed forecasting and forward contracts.
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