The timeline for litter size changes discussed in the previous paragraph is specific to the sea ice projections of Joly et al.27 Other climate and sea ice models could be connected to our litter size model in a similar manner, and such analyses might yield slower or faster litter size declines than discussed above.
In a recent blog written for the Navy's website, Navy Oceanographer Rear Admiral Jon White said an inter-agency team made the assessment after a comprehensive review of current Arctic sea-ice projections.
Lee, H., Swenson, S. C., Slater, A. G. & Lawrence, D. M. Effects of excess ground ice on projections of permafrost in a warming climate.
With increased water temperatures (Lammers et al. 2007) and longer ice-free periods of the Arctic rivers (Shiklomanov and Lammers 2014), the role of river heat input is increasing and must be incorporated in sea ice prediction and projection models.
Currently such studies do not expressly discuss projections of fast ice and rely upon projections of sea ice.
At present, none of the SOCCOM climate models incorporate the effect of fresh water from melting sea ice into their projections, but that may soon change.
Until such independent evaluation of form drag and basal friction is integrated into models, the current generation of ice-sheet models will be hampered in establishing projections of ice loss and sea-level rise.
Analyzing recent projections of ice melt occurring in the Antarctic and Greenland, Hodges calculates that diverting the equivalent of three Mississippi Rivers inland would do the trick.
The ice shelf is the floating projection of the mighty Pine Island Glacier, which drains something like 10% of all the ice flowing out of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet into the ocean.
Tedesco, M. et al. The darkening of the Greenland ice sheet: trends, drivers, and projections (1981-2100).
At issue are scientific projections that the ice cap will recede because of global warming, opening the Artic Ocean to offshore oil drilling.
