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Serreze, M. C. & Stroeve, J. Arctic sea ice trends, variability and implications for seasonal ice forecasting.
Although years vary, the trend is that over the last three decades the expanse of Hudson Bay ice on that date has decreased by about one-third, according to John Falkingham, chief of the service's Ice Forecasting unit.
In this study, for the first time, the stacking ensemble learning was applied to forecasting of river ice breakup dates, which appeared promising for other river ice forecasting problems.
The performance obtained by the proposed parallel implementation of the neXtSIM code is shown being sufficient to perform simulations for state-of-the-art sea ice forecasting and geophysical process studies over geographical domain of several millions squared kilometers like the Arctic region.
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The crew and expedition leaders had been poring over weather and ice forecasts and speaking with maritime rescue agencies and other ships' captains since the early morning.
Scientists, Dr. Untersteiner said, "have no way to send out 500 people" across the top of the world to match the intelligence gains, adding that the new understandings might one day result in ice forecasts.
My research has progressed from the identification of polar-global linkages, expanded to an ENSO-Antarctic Dipole teleconnection mechanism study, and finally resulted in an Antarctic sea ice forecast.
In September 2015 during the Oden Arctic Technology Research Cruise 2015 OATRC 20155), an ExxonMobil Upstream Research Company EMURCC) free drift tactical ice forecast model designed to forecast the drift of individual ice floes in low concentration ice conditions was applied in near real-time to high concentration pack ice with predominant thicknesses of medium first-year ice in the Arctic Ocean.
The following analysis is constructed to model how a decision maker would incorporate ice forecast information in FPSO movement decisions.
So if there were snow or ice forecast or an event that was causing traffic, the alarm would wake you up earlier to account for that.
The expected value of environmental prediction information is assessed by carrying through two sets of calculations, one with and one without ice forecasts.
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