Assuming that the hurricane climate changes linearly with time, a 1000-member ensemble of time series of property damage was created.
Gerry Bell, a hurricane climate specialist and research meteorologist at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center, echoed that message.
"We had predicted that this was going to be an active season," Gerry Bell, a hurricane climate specialist and research meteorologist at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center, told HuffPost earlier this month.
"We have groups doing numerical weather prediction, hurricanes, climate, oceans, but in the international arena, countries have whole institutions doing the functions of these individual groups," said Dr. Ronald J. Stouffer, who designs and runs climate models at the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory in Princeton, N.J., a top Commerce Department center for weather and climate work.
Overall, our study shows that global (e.g. ENSO) and regional (e.g. storms, hurricanes) climate factors play a key role on forest succession, modulating the speed of the TDF regeneration dynamics.
Curio #881 | Hacking hurricanes Climate change isn't just warming the planet.
Both Tom Knutson and Gabriel Vecchi, veteran hurricane-climate researchers for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, offered detailed critiques that I added as comments on Sunday.
But, over all, the core challenge in considering hurricanes in this century – as a wide range of hurricane-climate experts agreed years ago — is to limit exposure wherever possible, boost responsiveness and resilience when one inevitably hits and work to improve understanding of the response of such extreme, and rare, meteorological events to global warming.
In the case of Katrina, lawyers would have to link the force of the hurricane to climate change, and climate change to carbon emissions.
Roger A. Pielke, Jr., of the University of Colorado, has a must-read article in The Wall Street Journal, "Hurricanes and Human Choice," that sets Hurricane Sandy and its impacts in the broader context of hurricane and climate history — and drawing on his invaluable work assessing such impacts when the losses are "normalized" — a process akin to adjusting economic analysis for inflation.
Edwards suggests that we should attack some of the actual problems left untouched in the Bush era: health security, Hurricane Katrina, climate change.
