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The model also shows that controlling a human outbreak by killing rats usually will not work.
It has been almost a generation since the last major human outbreak of the disease.
Some scientists say that conditions are not nearly as primed for a significant human outbreak as they were last year.
But since the human outbreak in Veracruz is believed to have started in February, many veterinary experts said testing pig snouts for live virus in April proved nothing.
The two scientists wanted to study rats in New York City to have a point of comparison in case a pathogen crossed over and caused a human outbreak.
By that pattern, the next human outbreak of West Nile virus may not be nearly so severe or so widespread, CDC experts said.
There are still small outbreaks, like one in Madagascar in the 1990s, but "a multiyear large human outbreak is inconceivable in this day," he said.
But it was not clear what test was used; only blood tests for antibodies would show whether pigs had the virus in February, when the human outbreak is thought to have begun.
The current human outbreak is also caused by an H1N1 virus of swine origin.
There's also some optimism that the human outbreak of the virus is not as threatening as earlier feared.
At least 66 people lost their lives, making it the deadliest human outbreak of inhalation anthrax ever.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com