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Both Christmas Day and New Year's Day fall on Saturdays, disrupting the normal holiday pattern (with Saturday transfers) at a commercially important part of the year.
"One could expect that tourists would distribute their holiday pattern more evenly during the year and take shorter holidays in order to benefit, for instance, from more clement weather conditions during the other seasons," it says.
These structural breaks in the holiday pattern complicate load forecasting.
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"In order to run the adverts, and write the articles on these (particularly long-haul holidays) somebody at the paper MUST believe that these are influencing people's holiday patterns.
More workers mean more night-life, which makes marketing a resuscitated Bournemouth to the young rather easier.Price rises and kebab-munching night-clubbers may have helped put off the oldies, but holiday patterns are probably also responsible.
The two syndromic definitions were modestly correlated with hospitalizations, even after accounting for seasonal, day of week, and holiday patterns.
The goal was to assess the extent to which CVD syndromic events and hospital admissions co-vary temporally above and beyond any shared seasonal, day of week, and holiday patterns.
We calculated the percent deviance explained by season, day-of-week, and holiday patterns by estimating the deviance from a null GLM and a full GLM model with the season/temporal trend, day-of-week, or holiday term; the full deviance was subtracted from the null deviance and then divided by the null deviance.
Seasonal and holiday patterns were found to explain little of the variance seen in the time series while day of week patterns explained approximately 57% and 62% of deviance in the time series of Syndromes 1 and 2, respectively, and 80% in the time series of hospitalizations.
Additional variables included were factors for weekday and holiday patterns.
Additionally in the second approach we established a generalised additive Poisson model and predicted the expected frequencies during summer 2006 according to time trends, weekday and holiday patterns estimated from the two preceding years.
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CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com