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But when you do that you sometimes get on the wrong side of huge historic trends.
An Arab-led military solution in Syria would capitalize on several historic trends that are now coalescing.
Oddly, at least by historic trends, they are eating out less than the baby boomers did at that age.
Some old market hands who based their strategies on historic trends and values were trampled in the stampede.
The report states: "If historic trends are repeated, increasing wages will absorb about 80 per cent [£480m] of the extra revenue".
North Carolina's legislators, for instance, have outlawed "scenarios of accelerated sea-level rise unless such rates are...consistent with historic trends".
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At the 1934 mid-term elections, the Democrats bucked every historic trend by increasing their support.
This ongoing sacrifice of domestic welfare for military "readiness" represents the reversal of a historic trend.
Thursday's report from the Institute for Public Policy Research IPPRR) aims at reversing that historic trend.
The historic trend is for the country's defence budget to rise to maintain its position as a regional superpower.
The Republicans also increased their majority in Congress that year, going against the historic trend of losses for the party of a sitting president.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com