Sentence examples for his probabilities from inspiring English sources
"What Safire doesn't seem to realize," wrote Dan Seligman in Forbes magazine, "is that odds translate into percentage probabilities (e.g., 4-1 means the guy has a 20% chance) and that his probabilities add up to 168%.
What Safire doesn't seem to realize is that odds translate into percentage probabilities (e.g., 4-1 means the guy has a 20% chance) and that his probabilities add up to 168%.
Hence his probabilities are always with respect to a non-empty reference class, so the probability that an event is in a class B is in Reichenbach's notation, P A, B) where A is the reference class similar to the modern notation of the conditional probability P(B | A).
And his probability of actually becoming president are cut in half, to 7 percent.
However, his probability of winning the Electoral College increased by a trivial amount, to 85.7 percent from 85.1.
That's roughly in line with the online bookmakers, which now have Obama as the 1/2 favorite, or thereabouts, which implies that his probability of winning is 66.7percentnt.
His probability of winning a future party nomination is 53 percent, and of becoming president, 33 percent — about one in three.
Thus, the increase in Mr. Obama's Electoral College win probability was slightly smaller than increase in his probability of winning the popular vote, which rose to 71 percent from 61 percent.
His probability of winning the Electoral College is now listed at 81.9 percent, his highest figure of the year and up from 79.7 percent on Tuesday.
I told her insurers hope they never have to pay; they wanted to make sure his probability of dying soon was low.
Assuming that the errors in the formula are normally distributed, we can also use these historic results to translate the number of keys that an incumbent has into his probability of winning another term.
