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The study by Jost and others 1 revealed that sheep were most affected by the RVF outbreak: this species had the highest outbreak incidence, fatality, and mortality rates.
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Other factors triggering outbreaks are less documented, but we discuss the possibility that the high outbreak synchrony in geographically separated populations of BPH may suggest a "Moran effect" such as climate that promotes an environment favoring above-average increases in BPH populations.
Within this biannual pattern, high outbreak activity followed the emergence of novel GII.4 variants.
Defining July to June of the following year as the yearly observation period, there was clear biannual pattern of low and high outbreak activity in Alberta.
The two variants that emerged in 2006 had wider geographic distribution and resulted in higher outbreak activity compared to other variants.
For pathogens of high outbreak potential, samples may be collected for surveillance purposes.
However, the higher outbreak incidence rate in the SurvNet system is likely the result of its higher sensitivity, at least in part.
Targeted monitoring of I. confusus populations to estimate vital rates, population dynamics and source populations may allow delineating high outbreak risk areas, and detect population thresholds that dictate outbreaks.
That classifier is then used to predict future dengue incidence as either HIGH (outbreak) or LOW (no outbreak), where these values are defined as being above and below the mean previous dengue incidence plus two standard deviations, respectively.
These could include a) the dissemination of information with respect to the geographic locations of high outbreak risk communes and b) the implementation of a formal data recording scheme for all incoming and outgoing LPT's.
Although the death rate is high, outbreaks of ebola are infrequent and have so far been contained each time.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com