Speaking to cadets at West Point on February 25th, Robert Gates, America's defence secretary, said that, in the future, "the most plausible, high-end scenarios for the US military are primarily naval and air engagements".
Moderateclimate scenarios show less vulnerability than the high-end scenarios for each GCM.
Vulnerability indices were calculated for each of the four socio-economic scenarios and run twice using each GCM as: (i) a "high-end climate scenario" (where each GCM is combined with the SRES A1 emissions scenario and a "high" climate sensitivity) and, (ii) a "moderate climate scenario" (where each GCM is combined with the SRES B1 emissions scenario and a "low" climate sensitivity).
The level of vulnerability in the CSMK3 high-end climate scenario is about a third less the high-end climate scenarios of the other GCMs (Fig. 3).
In the high vulnerability case (high-end climate scenario with GFCM21, Icarus, 2050s) European vulnerability is considerably greater with 81%% of the area and 88%% of the baseline population (443,004,000 people) vulnerable in at least one sector.
This results from the small rises in sea-level, the primary driver of coastal flooding, between moderate and high-end climate scenarios (0.12 m and 0.3 m respectively).
Based on a bioclimatic envelope model, the Biodiversity Index is one of the most climatically sensitive indices: moderate climate scenarios show considerably less VP and VA than their high-end counterparts, irrespective of socio-economic scenario.
Thus, think of this growth scenario as the high-end upside in the two-year time frame.
Laurie Simmons, too, works with figures, turning high-end sex dolls into suburban subjects, plopped amidst domestic scenarios, emphasizing the objectification and commodification of the female form.
