Ensemble [28] or probabilistic [29] high resolution forecasts, e.g., 1-day or 1-week ahead ensemble forecasts with a high temporal resolution.
By using non-tropical warnings in these areas from the start, we avoid or minimize the significant confusion that could occur if the warning suite changed from tropical to non-tropical in the middle of the event". NOAA HFIP -- Experimental Real-Time High Resolution Forecasts.
But last year, CI senior fellow V. Rao Kotamarthi and Argonne postdoctoral researcher Jiali Wang pushed the resolution limits of climate modeling further than ever before, completing the highest resolution forecast of North America ever conducted.
I.B.M. is among the companies developing a high-resolution forecast system.
He likens high-resolution forecasting to a high-powered rifle.
The I.B.M. researchers produce high-resolution forecasts twice a day, both for prospective customers and for their own analysis as they increase the power of their simulation models.
Private companies, particularly in America but in other parts of the world as well, have now stepped in to provide high-resolution forecasts for particular markets and industries.
Clifford F. Mass, a professor in the department of atmospheric sciences at the University of Washington, said that while high-resolution forecasts were improving, there was a potential for big mistakes.
IBM, for example, uses its own network of weather stations to evaluate the accuracy of its high-resolution forecasts.At the same time, the mathematical models are also being upgraded to cope with finer forecasting grids.
High-resolution forecasting already requires more processing power to provide a forecast for a given area within a given time: halving the grid spacing (from 12km to 6km, for example) increases the amount of computing power needed fourfold.
In other words, the more detail, the better.Bridgeline, a company that operates gas pipelines in Louisiana, uses AccuWeather's high-resolution forecasts to monitor "severe weather events" in the Gulf of Mexico that could affect gas supply.
