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So far, numerous seismic hazard forecasting models were developed by many researchers.
The applications of lava flow modeling to assessing flow hazard, forecasting, impact, and mitigation require varying degrees of accuracy, speed, and complexity.
Due to this very long-term behavior, hazard forecasting becomes challenging, in particular for short-term time frames (days to few months).
This study showed the substantial effect that the definition of a volcanic field boundary may have on even the simplest exploratory methods for hazard forecasting.
Knowing whether a volcano is dormant, in a state of quiescence, or in a state of non-magmatic unrest is a first requisite for hazard forecasting.
This event tree has not yet been applied to probabilistic hazard forecasting during stages of non-magmatic unrest, although it is intended to become the basis for a future BET_UNREST code.
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Phenomenology, eruption precursors, hazard forecast, and risk mitigation.
The resistance to adopt probabilistic approaches when dealing with volcanic hazard forecasts has multiple origins.
(2) Better estimate future flow path behavior and reduce uncertainty in hazard forecasts.
It is reasonable to state that hazard forecasts are informed by risk evaluations; accordingly, it is also reasonable that the practices leading to hazard forecasts vary with the level of risk.
How these findings might map across to volcanic hazard forecasts and decision support situations requires further research.
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