Exact(1)
Asked about this, Ms Yellen said this was not necessarily due to any confusion on the market's part; it may simply have a different forecast from the Fed.
Similar(58)
Notably, we have found that the DBM has a different forecasting performance on shallow and deep seismicity.
"Everyone can make forecasts but not all of those forecasts are included in our models and each forecast may have a different weight," says Warnaar. "You would therefore have to be a consistently good forecaster to be able to influence the aggregate forecast with a rogue prediction, but even then your forecast must be consistent with your previous pattern".
The Nov. 6 forecast prices in some tightening while the "now-cast" does not, so sometimes they'll have a different take on the polls.
"They give you a different forecast every day".
While some Intel watchers may hope that the reduced forecast represents a near-term hiccup, Mr. Hickey has a different view.
To test the effect of estimating the container weight and number of moves on the accuracy of the forecast we have developed different forecast models to predict RTG crane loads 24 hours ahead using variations on the input variables.
Dueling hypotheses have led to different forecasts.
The International Monetary Fund, he says, "has issued four different forecasts about growth for 2011.
"Projecting annual prescription drug sales is notoriously tricky, evident by the fact that IMS Health has released three different forecasts for 2009.
Second, each should have a basic understanding of forecast uncertainty.
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