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Using such measures to guide forecast model selection may result in selecting models with a greater number of parameters and 'over-fitting', which tends to result in inaccurate forecasts.
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If the history of weapons procurement is any guide, the forecast is gloomy.
In advance companies guide analysts' forecasts down so they can beat the consensus on the day.
Joseph H. Ellis Manhattan, March 4 The writer is the author of "Ahead of the Curve: A Commonsense Guide to Forecasting Business and Market Cycles".
Results from this study can improve understanding of mechanism of coal oxidation and provide a guide to forecasting and preventing spontaneous combustion of coal in underground coal mines or coal stockpiles.
The new research shows that in the past, a good guide to forecasting typical career earnings among Americans of a given age has been their average income they were 25.
What fancy algorithm guides Intrades forecast?
Check out our Complete Guide to Forecasting Sales for Your Monthly Subscription Business.
But so far the optimism entrenched in mainstream economics guides the forecasts, and they are persistently upbeat.
In another work, The Abortion of the Young Steam Engineer's Guide (1805), he forecast the need for government subsidization of technological advances.
Thus, it can provide a theoretical guide for the forecast and control of the fracture damage caused by crack growth, which is one of the main early distresses of rubber-modified asphalt pavements.
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