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The phrase "guess based on" is correct and usable in written English.
You can use it when making an educated guess based on facts or evidence. For example: "I guessed based on the previous test results that the solution would work."
Exact(60)
It simply makes an educated guess based on past spending.
Sometimes he makes an educated guess based on context.
To guess, based on the past, is to preclude discerning change in the future.
(That's a guess, based on where the money is — ask Rod Stewart).
But you can guess based on their behavior, and their behavior has clearly been aggressive.
(That's a guess, based on where the money is ask Rod Stewart).
Preventive medicine often involves making a best guess based on less than complete scientific information.
Other programs examine the words on either side of the suspect word and make another guess based on that analysis.
The colors are a guess, based on where Beelzebufo lived and the coloration of modern desert amphibians.
He even dares to make a Melville-related joke (inevitably, I guess) based on the name of the whale.
All you can do is make a guess based on your age, sun exposure, skin colour and diet.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com