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It indicates the minimal loss we can expect over a certain period of time for a given likelihood.
True enough, there is a sense in which The Turing Test does look for a "null result": if ordinary judges in the specified circumstances fail to identify the machine (at a given level of success), then there is a given likelihood that the machine is intelligent.
The plot in Figure 9 (center) shows the distribution of the likelihoods in terms of the total number of times a state with a given likelihood was visited.
The plot in Figure 9 (left) shows the distribution of the number of distinct states visited with a given likelihood, for different values of the likelihood.
The accuracy of the approximation in step 3b depends on the population of N points (live points) being truly distributed as the prior within the given likelihood constraint (Skilling, 2006).
The Jeffreys prior J is defined as (21) J (T ) = | det F (T ) |, where F(T) denotes the Fisher Information Matrix FIMM) of the given likelihood model, in this case given by (18).
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The sensitivity of each method was determined by assessing the number of contacting pairs found at given likelihoods of contact, and is shown in Table S3 for contact likelihoods between 50% and 90%.
Then, 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for estimates were determined on the basis of determining parameter values that gave likelihood scores ± two ln-likelihood units while keeping the second parameter fixed for the maximum likelihood estimate.
Given partial likelihood, maximum partial likelihood estimators are solved by a modified Newton's method.
"Given the likelihood of consolidation, we think these stocks are extremely attractive," Mr. Kligerman said.
That difference, given the likelihood of Supreme Court vacancies, weighs heavily on my decision".
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CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com