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This upcoming general election will be won and lost on the smallest of margins.
But past experience suggests that the general election will be won or lost on other, more serious issues: such as single mothers, the spelling of "potato", and looking silly in tanks.
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Next year's election will be won by the passionate.
The general election will be easy: Mr Rangel won 91% of the vote in 2012.The Rangel campaign has attacked Mr Espaillat for voting with Republicans on occasion, issuing a leaflet which depicts the state senator as a puppet controlled by leering conservatives (including, curiously, Sarah Palin).
Brat, assuming he wins the general election, will be the low man on the Congressional totem pole.
But aside from the elevated media profile all of this gives to Palin, it also means that any of Sarah's picks (be they "Mama Grizzlies" or not) who actually win their general election will be in Palin's debt on the "political backscratching" scale of things.
This virtually ensures that the independent-minded moderates necessary to win in a general election will be driven straight into the arms of President Obama.
In part because there are more female Democrats than black ones, she leads Mr Obama by double digits in polls of likely primary voters.Winning the general election will be harder, though.
The general election will be on Tuesday, Nov. 5.
Instead, a general election will be held in February.
If they fail, an early general election will be held.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com