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It may also lead to longer term reductions in costs because effective treatment may ameliorate symptoms, reduce the number of future offenses, and thus subsequent arrests and incarceration.
In a letter to each of the players, Ray Anderson, the N.F.L.'s executive vice president for football operations, warned that "future offenses will result in an escalation of fines up to and including suspension".
In contrast, CompStat and other crime-tracking systems in use in many cities are calibrated less frequently, rely more on humans to recognize patterns, and allocate resources based on past crimes rather than predicted future offenses.
Dioceses will pay dearly for covering up the most abominable crimes and failing to prevent future offenses.
The system took into account things like gender, age, criminal history and dozens of other variables, trying to find ways predict future offenses.
The problem of racial profiling in the legal system was raised: if members of particular racial and ethnic groups are more likely to be arrested, charged, or convicted of a criminal offense, they are more likely to be required to provide DNA samples to forensic databases, and therefore more likely to come back into the system with future offenses.
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To apologize is to lay the foundation for a future offense.
The variables with the strongest correlation to the likelihood of a future offense turned out to be a prisoner's age at the time of release and probation and previous criminal history - with likely recidivism increasing for younger prisoners and with every increase in criminal history.
The commissioner later acknowledged the punishment was too light and said future first offenses in domestic violence cases would result in six-game bans.
The costs of allowing a parolee to avoid the consequences of his violation are compounded by the fact that parolees (particularly those who have already committed parole violations) are more likely to commit future criminal offenses than are average citizens.
On the other hand, study after study shows that treatment reduces the chances of future drug offenses as well as any other arrests by as much as 51%and64%4%, respectively.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com