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To apologize is to lay the foundation for a future offense.
The variables with the strongest correlation to the likelihood of a future offense turned out to be a prisoner's age at the time of release and probation and previous criminal history - with likely recidivism increasing for younger prisoners and with every increase in criminal history.
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It may also lead to longer term reductions in costs because effective treatment may ameliorate symptoms, reduce the number of future offenses, and thus subsequent arrests and incarceration.
In a letter to each of the players, Ray Anderson, the N.F.L.'s executive vice president for football operations, warned that "future offenses will result in an escalation of fines up to and including suspension".
In contrast, CompStat and other crime-tracking systems in use in many cities are calibrated less frequently, rely more on humans to recognize patterns, and allocate resources based on past crimes rather than predicted future offenses.
Dioceses will pay dearly for covering up the most abominable crimes and failing to prevent future offenses.
The system took into account things like gender, age, criminal history and dozens of other variables, trying to find ways predict future offenses.
The problem of racial profiling in the legal system was raised: if members of particular racial and ethnic groups are more likely to be arrested, charged, or convicted of a criminal offense, they are more likely to be required to provide DNA samples to forensic databases, and therefore more likely to come back into the system with future offenses.
And surely, this can only lead to future offenses being committed.
Lightning Can Strike Twice: The final step in the healing process is to declare your clear commitment to protect your spouse from future offenses.
Animal cruelty in the context of domestic violence is, therefore, predictive of future offenses since the recidivism rate of spouse abusers is statistically very high as well.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com