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The now-cast also differs from the forecast in other ways.
But that is down from the forecast of 16.6percentt growth made July 1.
It said its production averaged 57,100 barrels a day, up from the forecast 55,000.
From the forecast model's standpoint, therefore, the Pew poll is treated as a four-point lead for Mr. Obama after making these adjustments.
It said it expected the economy to expand 1.9 to 2.4 percent in 2012, down from the forecast of 2.4 to 2.9 percent growth it made in April.
This implies that GDP will increase by only 2% this year, a significant undershoot from the forecast of between 2.25% and 2.75% which Gordon Brown made in his March budget.There are two main reasons why the Bank has got gloomier.
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A strong indication of changing investor attitudes emerges from the forecasts for short-term interest rates.
Seton Hall's 16-15 record was a far cry from the forecasts that the Pirates would be among the nation's elite teams.
However, it is difficult to tell which characteristic is more important from the forecasting results.
It is not reconstructed as each predictor in turn is excluded from the forecasting exercise.
From the forecasting results of weekly prices, the mixed model has better forecasting results of price changes.
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