Exact(5)
Of course, 007 isn't just a project, it's an institution, and change in the realm of James Bond is like change in grand-scale politics: it's incremental and frustrating, except when a fortuitous match of character, principle, and circumstance, of imagination and charisma — or response to catastrophe — bring about major shifts.
A singular difference between LR and LRNRC values distinguishes the fortuitous match from the (presumed) real kinship regarding the missing daughter: the first does not support the maternity hypothesis (LRNRC = 0.08 versus LR = 2.62).
Eventually, the inclusion of the father confirmed which one was the fortuitous match by means of three inconsistencies (D18S51, Penta E, and CSF1PO), discarding undoubtedly the biological relationship of one sample (FM1, see Table 1).
The corrected p-value according to the sample size (p = 0.00000015308) indicated that one fortuitous match between two DNA profiles is expected in 6,532,422 comparisons for this database (Table 3).
In brief, low LRNRC values (~1 or <1) appear useful for indicating a fortuitous match, whereas uncorrected LR comparison could be useful for making a final decision when two matching events are observed during the search for a missing person within a STR database.
Similar(55)
Again, low LRNRC values (~1 or <1) appear useful for establishing fortuitous matches.
Interestingly, an increased frequency of fortuitous matches was observed in the studied Mexican STR database.
Conversely, the modal alleles of D18S51, Penta E, and Penta D were rarely observed in fortuitous matches (2/9).
We evaluated the presence of modal alleles in the nine fortuitous matches described here (Tables 1 and 2).
In the remaining four (Cases 3, 5, 6 and 7), seven or fewer STRs (<50% of STRs) were involved in fortuitous matching (Table 3; Fig. 2b).
In brief, as can be noted, strict application of these ISFG recommendations for DVI would have avoided the fortuitous matches described herein for missing persons identification.
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